Herd Immunity: in six months India would not require any vaccine for Corona Virus.

Parliament of India started functioning today after testing all members for Chinese Virus. Out of about 800 MPs, 25 members have tested positive without any symptoms. These include two members of Parliament from Delhi namely Meenakshi Lekhi and Pravesh Sahib Singh.

This number of 25 MPs, is in addition to other MPs and Ministers who were infected and have recovered including Home Minister of India.

Serological Survey:

ICMR has revealed a report of a Serological Survey. Aap per this report, till May, around 64 lakh people in the country became infected with Coronavirus. This survey was conducted at the national level for the first time. By May, 0.73% of adults i.e. 64 lakh (64,68,388) people have been estimated to have been exposed to the corona virus. From the survey, it was estimated that there were 82–130 infections in India to confirm every single case of corona by RT-PCR test. It has also been found from the sero survey that about 44 lakh people of the villages have been infected with corona.
According to ICMR, these surveys were conducted between May 11 and June 4. Samples of 4, 28,000 adults were taken during this period. These surveys were conducted in 70 districts of 21 states.

Real Number of Infections in India

Presently there are 4.7 million infected patients in India. As with the parliamentarians, there are numerous people who are infected but have no symptoms. Like all Chinese products, this virus has also lost its efficiency. If we apply the aforesaid report of ICMR and multiply 4.5 million with 100 the answer would be 145 million which exceed the population of India.

But if we look around and assess for ourselves as to how many people have not been tested, my guess is about 10 to 20 persons have bypassed the tests and have recovered with no symptoms or mild symptoms. Thus the real number of infection would be around 95 million. Since this report is of May we need to multiply this number by 12 to reach the conclusion that entire population has been washed by the Chinese Virus.

It is apparent that with present status of lock down is more relaxed than May 2020 and therefore the infections have accelerated. If all these calculations are correct, entire population of India would be infected and recovered by March 2021. Of course there will be more deaths. Presently over 1100 deaths are happening every day. Without vaccine there would be no way prevent these deaths every day.

It is for this reason Minister of health has made this statement:

“India is considering emergency authorisation of a COVID-19 vaccination,” said Health Minister Harsh Vardhan. “If there is a consensus we may go ahead with it, especially in the case of senior citizens and people working in high-risk settings.”

Let’s hope we get rid of Chinese Virus as soon as possible.

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